One result of the doughnut economics discussion is that we need to think much more about the carbon efficiency of development. So which countries are getting the best return on rising carbon emissions, in terms of life expectancy and per capita income?
Here are two animated graphics of 13 country trajectories. The thirteen major countries comprise more than half of the world’s population and carbon emissions. Territorial emission trajectories are green; trade-adjusted emissions (recognizing that if you import something to consume, that that should count as an emission) allowing for carbon are blue, contrasted with the global trend fit curves (dotted lines) for consumption-based carbon in 1990 and 2005. You can freeze, go back and forward etc to get a better grip of what is going on.
What do they show?
• Countries vary a whole lot in their pathways.
• Some are good and getting better at creating good development outcomes while not emitting much.
• Some are bad and getting worse, especially when we consider trade in embodied emissions.
• It’s getting easier to get longer lives for less.
• It’s currently apparently NOT possible to have long life and low emissions with high incomes.
[h/t Timmons Roberts. c/o Tim Gore]